Najarbandi Desk Exclusive : As Bihar gears up for the 2025 Assembly Election showdown, political momentum across the state has reached peak intensity. Street corners, village chaupals, marketplace discussions, and media debates all revolve around one question — who will form the next government in Patna? In this backdrop, the Najarbandi Digital Team’s exclusive opinion survey reveals a crucial trend — the NDA alliance is marginally ahead, but the INDIA bloc is not far behind, setting the stage for a photo-finish election.
Bihar has 243 Assembly seats, and the battle line is drawn clearly between two major alliances — NDA and the INDIA Bloc.
The NDA alliance consists of:
BJP, JDU (Nitish Kumar), LJP (Ram Vilas faction), HAM, and RLM.
They are contesting all 243 seats.
The INDIA alliance consists of:
RJD, Congress, and the Left front parties, along with smaller allies — also fielding candidates in all 243 seats.
Seat-Sharing Snapshot
Within NDA:
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BJP: 101 seats
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JDU: 101 seats
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LJP (Ram Vilas): 29 seats
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HAM & RLM: 6 seats each
Within INDIA Bloc:
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RJD: 135 seats
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Congress: 61 seats
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Left Front: 31 seats
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Others: 16 seats
This structured sharing reflects that both alliances are contesting at full strength.
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll — Najarbandi Exclusive Projection
| Alliance | Projected Seat Range | Position |
|---|---|---|
| NDA | 118 – 136 | Slightly Ahead |
| INDIA Bloc | 103 – 121 | Strong Contender |
| Others/Independents | 6 – 12 | Possible Kingmakers |
Party-wise Seat Projection
| Party | Projected Seats |
|---|---|
| BJP | 60 – 72 |
| JDU | 42 – 55 |
| LJP (Ram Vilas) | 10 – 14 |
| RJD | 58 – 70 |
| Congress | 21 – 29 |
| Left | 12 – 19 |
Why NDA Holds an Edge?
Increasing support from women voters, benefits from public distribution schemes, CM Nitish Kumar’s governance image, and rural development visibility continue to help NDA.
Why INDIA Bloc Remains Strong?
High youth turnout, employment and livelihood dissatisfaction, strong RJD grassroots cadre, and Left influence in key belts are pushing INDIA forward.
Key Battleground Regions to Watch
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Seemanchal – swing strongly influenced by Muslim vote consolidation
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Magadh & Mithila – JDU vs RJD direct contests
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Saran and central plains – BJP vs RJD close margins
These belts are expected to determine the final outcome.
Conclusion
The Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll reveals no landslide for either side.
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NDA has a narrow lead.
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INDIA bloc is close and competitive.
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Independent and smaller parties may hold decisive influence.
In simple terms:
The people of Bihar have delivered their verdict. The counting will reveal it.
